Summer Heat Amid a Pandemic-July Newsletter

Cows cooling off at a ranch in Wise County

We are now into the very hot months of summer in North Texas with average temperatures of 96 degrees (not factoring in heat indexes in the triple digits). The housing market has been on a pandemic pause but last month has moved upward. As this pandemic is lasting longer than many had hoped or expected, there is now a pent up demand for housing in North Texas.

After spending more time at home, the need for a home office and a desire to be in a less dense area, are making a move to different housing more appealing for many. As a result, the number of sales for the month of June has surged. Supply is down and volume is up. New home starts are up 17.9% from last year as supply is trying to keep up with demand. The more rural markets are also seeing lots of activity. We will share some of the data from the rural counties this month so make sure to scroll down for the interactive charts!

The Texas economy is still struggling but recovering some during the pandemic. According to the latest report from Texas A&M Real Estate Center:

The Texas economy continues to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic. The state’s economy lost 696,200 nonagricultural jobs from June 2019 to June 2020, an annual decline of 5.4 percent, smaller than the nation’s employment decline of 8.6 percent. The nongovernment sector lost 610,300 jobs, an annual decline of 5.6 percent, also lower than the nation’s employment decline of 9.1 percent in the private sector. Texas and U.S. annual job loss rates last month were both smaller than their May rates, making June the second month of economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Added to the mix of factors impacting real estate, mortgage rates are at their lowest in 50 years, with rates dipping below 3 % with a 30 year fixed rate at 2.98%.

These low rates have certainly encouraged many to buy or refinance a home. However, the longer the pandemic and uncertainty exist, the more job losses will impact the purchasing power of many. Recent job losses reported in our area- JC Penney with 1,000 jobs cut and American Airlines is laying off and furloughing 25,000 jobs. Both of these companies are headquartered in North Texas and the impacts of these job losses have yet to be seen.

Let’s look at the numbers for our main four counties:

Median Sales Price

Denton County
$325,000 | +1.2%
Collin County
$360,000 | +1.6%
Dallas County
$270,000 | +1.5%
Tarrant County
$255,000 | +2.0%

Median Price Per Square Foot

Denton County
$144 | +2.9%
Collin County
$144 | +4.3%
Dallas County
$147 | +2.8%
Tarrant County
$131 | +4.0%

Days on Market

Denton County
20 | -20.0%
Collin County
25 | -10.7%
Dallas County
20 | +25.0%
Tarrant County
14 | +7.7%

Months of Supply

Denton County
2.0 | -42.9%
Collin County
2.2 | -45.0%
Dallas County
2.5 | -30.6%
Tarrant County
1.7 | -34.6%

Volume

Denton County
1,772 | +17.9%
Collin County
1,864 | +8.8%
Dallas County
2,436 | +7.9%
Tarrant County
2,847 | +6.0%

Rural Markets

Now, let’s take a look at some of our less dense and rural market areas. We have included Cooke, Grayson, Wise, and Parker Counties. These, of course, are not all of the more rural counties around the DFW market but they are some of the counties we most often serve.

Median Sales Price

Cooke County
$248,200 | +10.9%
Grayson County
$195,298 | -5.4%
Wise County
$273,900 | +9.6%
Parker County
$341,000 | +11.8%

Months of Supply

Cooke County
3.4 | -42.4%
Grayson County
3.2 | -30.4%
Wise County
3.1 | -26.2%
Parker County
3.0 | -25.0%

Volume

Cooke County
42 | +7.7%
Grayson County
244 | +34.1%
Wise County
113 | +18.9%
Parker County
313 | +19.5%
 
 

These markets are seeing double-digit growth in the number of sales, as well as a large dip in the supply and an increase in the median sales price. This uptick in activity in the more rural markets has been attributed to the uncertainty in the more densely populated areas. Some are really just wanting to get away from it all and are looking to the rural areas for the respite.

Life Goes On

Although we are in the midst of a pandemic, which has cause much disruption in the world, we are reminded that life still goes on. People are still buying houses, getting married and having babies. We are proud to announce the birth of our fourth grandson! He was born this month and is doing well.

“In three words I can sum up everything I learned about life: Life Goes On”

Robert Frost

As always, if you have any questions about real estate appraising or need services, please do not hesitate to contact us. Stay safe and well!

Interesting Real Estate Related Reads & Recommendations

Two Kinds of Bedrooms and Bathrooms– Cleveland Appraisal Blog

Five Ways To Identify An Increasing Real Estate Market– Birmingham Appraisal Blog

Best Home Equity Loans of 2020 – Money

Listen Closely to the Housing Narrative– Jonathan Miller, Housing Notes

5 Excel Resources and How-To Guides for Appraisers McKissock Blog

Wisdom of Crowds and 108 Year Old House– Scott Cullen, Working RE

5 Lessons Learned About Giving and Business– Michael Perry, Appraisal Buzz

June Newsletter-Summer Time is Here while Supply & Volume Show Big Declines in Housing Market

Turner Falls, Oklahoma

Today is the official first day of summer. Can you believe it? Spring just really meshed into summer since all of the stay home orders. Nothing this year is normal as we are still in the midst of this pandemic. We hope that you are able to find a safe place to stay cool and enjoy your summer time.

We recently took our kids to visit Turner Falls in Oklahoma which is the cover picture. It is a waterfall from a natural spring in the Arbuckle Mountains. We love the area and were able to spread out , social distance, hike, swim and enjoy the beautiful geologic formations.

The housing markets have so far not seen big declines in prices during the pandemic but the supply and volume show drastic decline during the pandemic. Both the supply and inventory have double-digit declines YoY but prices have remained relatively flat. So why haven’t prices declined? As we discussed last month, the supply and demand both decreased in tandem. Typically if the demand decreased but supply remained the same, a lowering in price would occur. During this pandemic, the supply has also decreased, keeping the supply/demand ratio similar to prior to the pandemic.

Predictions during this time are difficult. Texas is currently experiencing a “double whammy” as low oil price and a pandemic are impacting the economy. Texas has been reopening but as we have, covid19 cases have been climbing. This threatens a strong economic recovery, which would then impact the housing market.

Mortgage rates remain at record lows.

Let’s dive in to the numbers:

Median Sales Price

Denton County
$322,000 | -0.3%

Collin County
$345,000 | 0.0%

Dallas County
$250,000 | -3.8%

Tarrant County
$247,000 | -0.2%

Months Supply of Inventory

Denton County
2.4 | -31.4%

Collin County
2.5 | -34.2%

Dallas County
2.8 | -20.0%

Tarrant County
1.9 | -24.0%

Volume

Denton County
1,245 | -24.8%

Collin County
1,266 | -31.1%

Dallas County
1,694 | -36.0%

Tarrant County
1,953 | -31.4%

Median Days on Market

Denton County
24 | +20.0%

Collin County
25 | -3.8%

Dallas County
20 | +5.3%

Tarrant County
16 | +23.1%

New Listings

Denton County
2,071 | -9.0%

Collin County
2,151 | -15.5%

Dallas County
3,340 | -7.9%

Tarrant County
3,210 | -17.9%

As we move forward, we will continue to watch the housing market and economy for North Texas. As we are still in the middle of this pandemic, we do wish you all safety and health. As always, please let us know if you have questions or comments about real estate appraising or need appraisal services.

Happy Father’s Day to all of the dads and those who are like fathers to us. You will never know how important you are. We celebrate you!

Interesting Reads or Listens

Don’t hold your breath for a Covid discount– Sacramento Appraisal Blog

Unintended Consequences of the Coronavirus Pandemic– Birmingham Appraisal Blog

The economy is tanking. So why aren’t home prices dropping?-Curbed

Appraisal Terms That Are Out of This World-Cleveland Appraisal Blog

Hundreds of new homes coming in Royse City northeast of Dallas– Dallas Morning News

Equestrian apparel company Ariat could bring hundreds of jobs to Fort Worth– Dallas Morning News

The Lockdown Has Relegated Housing To Background Noise– Housing Notes

Does My Neighborhood Really Need to be Analyzed? -The Appraiser’s Advocate

May Newsletter- Finding our Way in These Times

North Shore, Oahu, Hawaii

As Dickens penned, “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of light, it was the season of darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair.” The last two months have been times like none of us have ever seen. I was able to visit with my grandmother who is 91 and in a nursing home. While Facetiming, I asked her if she ever experienced anything like this pandemic. She said, “No, not anything can compare”. She was a nurse during WWII and lived through the depression. She has been around but she said nothing can compare. I think that is certainly true.

Times have been hard and these hard times are not over, but there have been some good things to happen as some families have been able to spend more time together and prioritize what is most important. I have seen courageous frontline workers and many appreciating all of those jobs that are essential for supply chains. As I type this newsletter, we just launched astronauts in space with a reusable rocket.

Our apologies for the delay in getting this newsletter out as we are now at the end of the month, but we have been busy and most importantly we had our son’s wedding this month (pic at the end of the newsletter). There were many adjustments and last-minute decisions that had to be made. The wedding went from a large to a very small gathering and then from an outdoor wedding to indoor due to the weather. They have been together 8 years so we agreed with not delaying it! We will have a large celebration later but in the meantime, we are very happy they started their married life together and wish them the best of times!

In regards to the housing market, some have tried to compare it to 2008 or 1980s S& L crisis but a forced shut down during a pandemic of epic proportions is not like any of those things. Many are thinking that the market should be tanking but what many do not understand is when we are looking at a market, we are looking backward. There is usually around 30 days, sometimes more from the time buyers and sellers have a contract and then the sale is actually closed. The numbers shown on the charts below are up to April, so many of these sales began in March. Next month’s numbers will be more telling of what occurred during the shutdown. We can get a glimpse of the future by looking at the pendings and number of listings of which were down.

In many ways, the market appears to have hit a pause button. It seems that the supply and demand both retracted in tandem, meaning that overall prices, as of yet haven’t seen significant declines. As we shared in our January & February newsletters, the market was really heating up before the pandemic. We see prices either slightly up or flat for the month of April. The supply has decreased as many were taken off the market during the shutdown. Sale volume is also down, which is not surprising during the shutdown.

Let’s take a look at the numbers:

Median Sales Price

APRIL 2020
Denton County
$314,000 | -0.3%
Collin County
$347,500 | +2.8%
Dallas County
$260,000 | +4.4%
Tarrant County
$255,992 | +6.7%

Average Price Per Sq. Ft.

APRIL 2020
Denton County
$145 | +2.1%
Collin County
$145 | +2.1%
Dallas County
$164 | +0.6%
Tarrant County
$134 | +3.9%

Months Supply of Inventory

APRIL 2020
Denton County
2.4 | -25.0%
Collin County
2.6 | -27.8%
Dallas County
2.7 | -18.2%
Tarrant County
2.0 | -13.0%

Volume

APRIL 2020
Denton County
1,190 | -14.9%
Collin County
1,217 | -19.9%
Dallas County
1,679 | -28.7%
Tarrant County
1,890 | -25.1%

Days on Market

APRIL 2020
Denton County
18 | -21.7%
Collin County
22 | -12.0%
Dallas County
20 | 0.0%
Tarrant County
16 | +6.7%

New Listings

APRIL 2020
Denton County
1,608 | -25.8%
Collin County
1,576 | -34.8%
Dallas County
2,391 | -32.7%
Tarrant County
2,623 | -23.9%

Looking Ahead

Looking ahead , since Texas is now in various stages of reopening, we will see if these trends begin to change. Mortgage interest rates are at all time lows but lending has tightened. If some jobs don’t come back, the economy will be impact and the available pool of buyers will decline and impact the market.

Celebrations & Anniversaries!

This is our 5th year of doing our monthly newsletter. The very first newsletter was sent out 5 years ago this month. We have changed the format a bit but we hope you enjoy it. Please give us feedback, questions or topics you would like us to cover.

We also want to celebrate Shannon Slater for 14 years of working at the DW Slater Company. Shannon joined the company in May 14 years ago making this a husband and wife appraiser team. Shannon thought, if it didn’t work out, she would go back to being a school teacher. After 14 years, we can safely say that it has worked out. Happy Work Anniversary!

Now for that wedding picture we promised! We are so very happy for our son and his new bride. We wish them the best in their future together!

As we look forward to the summer months, we will continue to provide you with monthly updates and information on the housing market. We also love being your appraisal service provider. If you have any questions about real estate appraisals, please don’t hesitate to contact us. We will get through these times. The beach picture we took a year ago in Hawaii. It was a peaceful place and a peaceful time. We will find our way back. This too shall pass. Until then, enjoy a little bit of Styx, The Best of Times.

April Newsletter-From a Distance

Photo by Mike from Pexels
From a distance we are instruments, Marching in a common band
(lyrics from “From a Distance”, Bette Midler)

We pray you are all safe and well during this unprecedented time of dealing with the COVID-19 virus pandemic. Here in Texas, a disaster proclamation was ordered on March 13th. Then on March 19th Governor Greg Abbott issued more executive orders to mitigate the spread of the virus. This order closed restaurants, bars, gyms, massage parlors, schools, and prohibiting visits to nursing home facilities. On March 31st, an executive order implementing essential services and protocols. Several more orders have been issued since and you can review them here. So through mid-March through April, we saw more and more activities ceasing in order to slow the spread of the virus, now as we are coming to the end of April, we are seeing the beginning of the reopening of activities.

How Has This Impacted Real Estate Appraisals?

For appraisers, we are still working and providing appraisal services as identified under essential services. (note this will vary from some states or counties with greater restrictions). There have been many changes to how we can appraise, with an emphasis on allowing appraisals to be performed “from a distance”. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, FHA, VA, and USDA have all made changes and allowances for desktop or exterior only appraisals where the appraiser does not enter your home. There are ways for the homeowner to send pictures and information about the home so that the appraiser doesn’t have to enter the home. We must point out that not all loans will qualify for this type of appraisal and full interior inspections of homes we still be required. We recommend discussing with your lender the possibility of using one of these appraisal alternatives if you have concerns about the appraiser coming into your home.

If you do end up having a full inspection there are things that you and the appraiser can do to safely perform an interior inspection. We recommend:

  1. Try to be vacant from the home at the time of the inspection or go outside when the appraiser is inside.
  2. Have all doors open and lights on. This is so the appraiser doesn’t have to touch anything within the home.
  3. Please inform the appraiser if anyone in the home has been ill.
  4. The appraiser can wear disposable gloves and a mask to help minimize any potential spread of viruses. We also sanitize before and after an inspection.

Appraisers and lenders are doing their best to navigate these temporary changes during this pandemic. There is a lot of information regarding the changes and requirements. Here are a few resources that we recommend that have all of the information at one site:

  1. McKissock –Coronavirus and Appraising: A Resource Guide to the Crisis
  2. Appraisal Institute- Coronavirus Update
  3. Wallitt Solutions- COVID-19 Novel Coronavirus
  4. Class Valuation- COVID-19 Appraisal Flexibilities Guide

How Has Coronavirus Impacted Our Real Estate Markets?

As it relates to the real estate market in our area, it is still too early to determine the impacts of the pandemic on our markets. Looking at the stats for March, the impact has been minimal but what you have to understand, that the sales that closed in March began in February. The sales that close in April were typically under contract in March. Real estate moves a bit slower so it’s more difficult to see the immediate effects. Real estate agents have moved to online virtual showings, buyers become hesitant during times of economic uncertainty, and lending has become tighter during this time.

We can look at listings and pendings to get a bit of a glance into the future. We will share the current market updates for our main four counties as well as a few additional charts as well to see what is going on in the market. We are seeing a slowing in the number of sales in April which is expected. Let’s dive in:

Interactive Charts

Median Sales Price

MARCH 2020
Denton County
$319,000 | +0.9%
Collin County
$345,000 | +2.8%
Dallas County
$263,000 | +7.3%
Tarrant County
$246,502 | +3.6%
Sale prices for March are still moving up, which shows how strong this market was as the pandemic hit.  All four counties increased YoY. 
 

Pending Sales

MARCH 2020
Denton County
1,324 | -13.2%
Collin County
1,337 | -18.5%
Dallas County
1,899 | -23.7%
Tarrant County
2,153 | -20.0%
Pending sales are down YoY in all four counties, which speaks to the future lowering of sale volume in April.  This certainly makes sense due to the shutting down of businesses and stay at home orders that came into place. 
 

Months Supply

MARCH 2020
Denton County
2.3 | -20.7%
Collin County
2.5 | -26.5%
Dallas County
2.6 | -16.1%
Tarrant County
1.9 | -13.6%
The supply of homes has also decreased in all four counties as buyers have either canceled their listings, temporarily taken them off the market, or decided to wait until the curve has flattened on fighting the coronavirus. 
 

Volume

MARCH 2020
Denton County
1,349 | +3.0%
Collin County
1,393 | +3.9%
Dallas County
2,106 | -0.3%
Tarrant County
2,245 | -7.0%
When it comes to sale volume, Dallas & Tarrant County were both down for March whereas Denton and Collin county have modest increased YoY. 

Days on Market

MARCH 2020
Denton County
26 | -13.3%
Collin County
27 | -27.0%
Dallas County
20 | -9.1%
Tarrant County
18 | -5.3%
The number of days on the market is down in all four counties, which again shows some of the strength of the market heading into April before everything was shut down. Marketing times are still very low and under one month. 

Looking Forward

Looking a little into the future. Here I have compared sale volume for each county for the month of March and what has currently reported as sold in April as of 04/23/2020 for three years. Based on the current raw data that we have so far in April.

Denton County sale volume is down 21.2%

Collin County volume is down 21.7% YoY

Dallas County volume is down 33% YoY

Tarrant County volume is down 29.5% YoY

So , more impacts from the coronavirus will be seen next month and the months to follow. It will be interesting to see the long term impacts of the pandemic as we move forward through the summer months. Please reach out to us with any questions you have. We are here for your appraisal needs.

Stay safe and take care. Stay tuned.

March Newsletter- False Start, Pandemic

Normally, I would have a lovely picture of spring full of discussions of the spring market activity but, as we all know, there is nothing normal going on in our lives right now. We now use the new term “social distancing”, kids are distant learners from home, churches are learning to stream their services online, families are using Zoom or Google Hangouts to connect and many have been laid off as their employers have been forced to close.

When Italy began to have major struggles all of the world leaders began to realize the seriousness of this particular virus. The COVID-19 virus as it is now identified as. The long incubation time of this virus has made it much harder to manage because many are spreading it unknowingly. We are all now trying to do our part to “flatten the curve” to lessen the strain on our medical resources as we limit our distance from others.

This world pandemic has been unprecedented. Many who study real estate markets have been trying to compare the impacts of this pandemic to previous events but there is nothing to compare to this sudden cessation of the economy.

False Start

Our real estate markets had taken off in January and they were continuing that pace through February. The charts provided in this market update are from February as we don’t have all of the numbers in for March. Everything was going great until everything came to an abrupt halt with the sudden need to try to stop the spread of COVID-19.

Have you ever been to a track meet and a running event had a false start? If you recall our newsletter last month, it showed runners bounding out of the starting blocks. With a false start, runners burst out of the blocks at the sound of the starting gun only to come to a quick stop once the gun sounds again signaling a false start. Someone started too early so the race has to restart. This is how I visualize the housing markets in North Texas. The markets were off to a great running start, only to be halted with all momentum ended.

So as we take a look at this market update, we know that all of this was before any impact of the global pandemic was evident.

We will be watching the direct impacts of the Covid19 crisis on our markets so look for that in next month’s newsletter. Let’s now look back to “Pre-Covid19” markets in February for Denton, Collin, Dallas and Tarrant counties. Out of the starting blocks and going strong, we saw prices up, supplies down and volume up.

Median Sales Price Trends

The median sale price trends in all 4 counties are up YoY. See the percentages below. The stats from last month – Denton is down 0.95%; Collin is up 1.66%; Dallas is up 2.5% and Tarrant is up 0.83% from January.

FEBRUARY 2020
Denton County
$310,000 | +1.9%

Collin County
$337,820 | +4.0%

Dallas County
$246,000 | +4.7%

Tarrant County
$242,000 | +5.2%

Volume

The number of sales is up in all four counties with the exception of Tarrrant County which is down a slight 2.2%

FEBRUARY 2020
Denton County
1,084 | +16.7%

Collin County
1,150 | +11.3%

Dallas County
1,756 | +7.9%

Tarrant County
1,833 | -2.2%

Months Supply of Inventory

All four counties have a decrease in supply as the demand for housing at the first of the year has been strong.  All three counties have less than 3 months of supply. 

FEBRUARY 2020
Denton County
2.2 | -24.1%

Collin County
2.4 | -25.0%

Dallas County
2.5 | -16.7%

Tarrant County
1.8 | -14.3%

Days on the Market

The number of days on the market decreased in both the northern suburb counties of Denton and Collin.  The number of days on the market increased for the more urban counties of Dallas and Tarrant YoY, however the number of days on the market is less than Denton and Collin counties. 

FEBRUARY 2020
Denton County
42 | -4.5%

Collin County
46 | -14.8%

Dallas County
32 | +33.3%

Tarrant County
26 | +8.3%

Appraising During the COVID-19 Outbreak

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the FDIC have provided guidelines and some temporary exceptions to appraisal requirements. In some instances, an exterior inspection can be made rather than a full inspection and in some cases, a desktop appraisal may be suitable. This is a decision that can be made by the lending institution and perhaps with a discussion with the appraiser. Here are links to the recently published guidelines:

Fannie Mae’s Temporary Guidelines

Freddie Mac’s Temporary Guidelines

FDIC FAQs During COVID-19 (Answer #12 & #13 relate to Appraisals)

In most states and counties real estate appraisals for financial institutions fall into the category of “Essential Businesses”. There is some discrepancy in Dallas County vs the city of Dallas as to whether appraisers are considered an Essential Business. We are searching for further clarification on this but in the meantime, we continue to provide services to our clients in a safe manner while following regulations in the counties and cities we service.

Please know that we have been taking precautions during this time to keep ourselves and others safe. If someone in your house is sick please inform the appraiser prior to the inspection. Please turn on all lights, open all doors and gates. Secure your pets. This eliminates the need for us to touch anything. Here is a link to a helpful article on helping an appraiser during an inspection as it relates to COVID-19.

What Homeowners Can Do to Assist The Appraiser During the Coronavirus Pandemic– Birmingham Appraisal Blog

We can all work together during this time to stay safe. We will continue to stay abreast of appraisal guidelines and local, county and state guidelines. As we watch the markets, we will be paying particular interest to listings and pendings as they can give us a little bit of a peek into the future.

As my grandmother often tells me, “this too shall pass”. I believe her. She lived through World War II and the Great Depression. She has been a steady rock in the lives of our family. Now she is in a nursing facility in quarantine, as she is at risk at the age of 91. I miss being able to see her. We pray that this will pass sooner than later and that we all come out stronger on the other side of this. We pray for health and safety for each of you as well. With that, I will leave you with a spring picture- change is coming and we will weather this storm.

January Newsletter-2019 Year in Review

Photo by David McBee from Pexels

“And now we welcome the new year. Full of things that have never been.”

Rainer Maria Rilke

We hope that your 2020 is off to a great start! As we enter another year, we wanted to look back at 2019 and review the year. We went a little more in-depth with some of the statistical data and have some different graphs for you. This year we continued to see population growth as inventories are beginning to increase. Some interesting stats of note:

  1. Tarrant County had the largest number of sales in 2019
  2. All four counties show slight price increases in 2019
  3. All four counties have increased supply
  4. All four counties have bank-owned (foreclosure) of less than 1%.

 

Here are the numbers and stats for 2019: 

 

 

 

Overall the markets are flattening with slight increases for the year.  We are not in a down cycle. As the Texas economy remains strong and population growth continues we do not anticipate a market decline.  That said, unforeseen things can impact the market, thus we will continue to provide you with monthly updates and information. 

**Please note that these statistics are general market trends and are not considered to be used to determine the value of your specific home**

Please let us know if there is are other metrics or information you would like us to cover for North Texas.

Happy New Year & December Newsletter

Happy New Year Fireworks
Happy New Year!

Happy New Year!! We hope that you had a wonderful holiday season and made great memories.  As 2019 ends,  we wanted to say thank you for your support and confidence in us for your appraisal services.   This year was a great year and we were honored that you chose us for your residential and commercial appraisal needs.  We had a great year of residential services including, single-family homes, waterfront properties, new construction, barndominums, condominiums, and high-end luxury homes.  We also enjoyed providing commercial services for warehouses, commercial land, office/retail, and equine facilities.  We appreciated the continued relationship with many of our clients and the new clients of 2019.  We look forward to continuing to provide you with reliable appraisal services in the year 2020.

We have been experiencing some technical issues with our blog and with the very busy end of year work we have not been able to provide the December Newsletter earlier.  I think that I have now fixed some of the issues in WordPress.  It is the last day of 2019 but here it is!

Real estate markets are still inching up ever so slowly.  Most metrics are trending upward.  Median Sales Price – up slightly; Marketing Times- up; Supply-Up; Volume- Flat.  The charts below represent the month of November compared to the same time last year and have been seasonally adjusted.   Here are the charts:

Median Sales Price Trends

NOVEMBER 2019
Denton County

$315,000 | +1.6%

Collin County
$337,000 | +2.1%

Dallas County
$245,500 | +2.3%

Tarrant County
$240,000 | +4.3%

 Days on Market

NOVEMBER 2019
Denton County

30 | +42.9%

Collin County
35 | +45.8%

Dallas County
22 | +46.7%

Tarrant County
19 | +35.7%

Months of Supply

NOVEMBER 2019
Denton County

3.1 | +14.8%

Collin County
3.4 | +9.7%

Dallas County
3.3 | +26.9%

Tarrant County
2.3 | +9.5%

Volume

NOVEMBER 2019
Denton County

15,486 | +3.9%

Collin County
16,695 | 0.0%

Dallas County
24,827 | -0.1%

Tarrant County
28,117 | +0.7%
These charts have been seasonally adjusted.  Take a look at the monthly chart that shows more of the seasonal trends.   In the past four years, the market prices have consistently peaked in June.

In next month’s newsletter, we will be able to do a full recap of 2019 as December’s numbers will be in.  We try to publish the newsletter after 2 weeks into the month in order to allow time for all of the data to be collected.

This marks our 4th year of sending out a monthly newsletter.  We hope that you enjoy it and get something out of it each month.  Please let us know if there is something you would like to change or add to the newsletter to make it an even better experience. 

 

Due to some technical difficulties we are experiencing on our site, I was not able to upload the interactive charts.  Once the issues are fixed I will update this newsletter so that the charts are interactive.

 

 

Please look forward to our January Newsletter which will have all of the end of year data and analysis available. 

 

Have a safe and Happy New Year!
David & Shannon Slater

Here’s to a great 2020!

November Newsletter-Happy Thanksgiving

It’s that time of year when family and friends gather together for the season of Thanksgiving. All of us at the DW Slater Company want to take some time to let you know that we are very thankful for you! Our clients, subscribers, and friends! We are thankful that you choose us for your real estate appraisal services, market updates, questions or concerns. As you gather together in groups big or small, may your time together be special and memorable. If you are cooking for Thanksgiving, scroll to the bottom of the newsletter for a special recipe from our family to yours!

Markets still inching up

Let’s talk about real estate! The markets in North Texas are still up. Although we have been talking about the slowing and certain markets are beginning to flatten, overall markets are still rising. The Texas economy is still very strong. According to the Texas A&M Real Estate Center: The Texas economy gained 297,100 nonagricultural jobs from October 2018 to October 2019, an annual growth rate of 2.4 percent, higher than the nation’s employment growth rate of 1.4 percent. The nongovernment sector added 284,600 jobs, an annual growth rate of 2.7 percent, also more than the nation’s employment growth rate of 1.5 percent in the private sector . Jobs and people continue to migrate to the DFW area. With its recent purchase of Ameritrade, Charles Schwab will be moving its headquarters to Westlake in Tarrant County. To make room for all those relocating to North Texas, PMB Capital Investments with the purchase of 3,400 acres, just announced plans for a residential development of 10,000 homes in Wise County called Rolling V Ranch. This will be one of the largest residential master-planned developments in North Texas.

Median Sales Prices are still slightly up in our main four counties YoY. Inventory & marketing times are up and volume is either down or flat moving to a more balanced market. As noted before, we are still inching up but at a slower pace. Here are the numbers:

OCTOBER 2019
Denton County
$315,000 | +1.6%

Collin County
$335,928 | +1.8%

Dallas County
$245,000 | +2.1%

Tarrant County
$240,000 | +4.3%
OCTOBER 2019
Denton County
29 | +38.1%

Collin County
35 | +52.2%

Dallas County
22 | +46.7%

Tarrant County
18 | +28.6%
OCTOBER 2019
Denton County
3.1 | +19.2%
Collin County
3.5 | +16.7%

Dallas County
3.3 | +26.9%

Tarrant County
2.3 | +9.5%
OCTOBER 2019
Denton County
15,416 | +2.8%

Collin County
16,723 | -0.8%

Dallas County
24,787 | -1.3%

Tarrant County
28,016 | 0.0%

We will continue to watch the real estate markets. Watch for our monthly update in next month’s newsletter.



Congratulations to our own, Shannon Slater and to realtor Whitney Delcourt as they were chosen as Appraiser of the Month and Realtor of the Month from Consumer Home Value. If you have’t checked out Consumer Home Value’s website, please do. They provide a wealth of information to help consumers navitgate the home buying, selling, refinancing or remodeling process. We apprecited the kind words about our company and services from our clients and collegues.




Nana’s Jalepeno Corn Casserole

Nana’s Jalepeno Corn Casserole

Ingredients: 

Two 12 oz cans of whole kernel corn (mostly drained)

One 8 oz pkg of cream cheese

One stick of butter

One & 1/2 whole jalepeno diced ( remove seeds if mild is desired)

Salt & Pepper to taste 

Melt the cheese & butter together

Combine all ingredients in a 9X13 baking pan

Bake at 350 degrees until bubbly  (approximately 10-20 minutes)

 

This recipe is written exactly as it was given.  It will be on our table for Thanksgiving.    Enjoy!

Seasonal Changes- October Newsletter

House in Fall

Last month, I was complaining about how it was still so very hot and I was ready for the cooler fall weather. Well, yesterday we walked around a large 70-acre equine property when it was wet, misty and 45 degrees. I loved it! We are already getting a freeze warning for tonight. That is early in Texas. Some around here say we just skip fall and just go from summer to winter. Some days it certainly feels that way, but I have lived here my whole life and I know that it never stays hot forever and it never stays cold forever. Changes do come, just as they do in the real estate markets.

Real estate markets go and down. They fluctuate. This can really be seen in the interactive charts below when looking at the ups and downs from month to month. To look at a broader picture of our markets check out this chart of the real estate price cycles in the Dallas-Fort Worth Metro area. You can see that we have only had two big downturns. One in the ’80s which coincides with the Savings and Loan Crisis and the second on started in 2007 with the housing crisis.

The markets also change with the seasons. If it feels slower right now, that is because the markets typically do slow month to month in the fall. Looking at our markets of Denton, Collin, Dallas, and Tarrant counties there is a slowing month to month but when compared to the same time last year they are still increasing. The pace of appreciation has slowed but prices are still up YoY. We also wanted to show you the more rapid price appreciation in our more northern and rural markets of Cooke and Grayson counties. See the Cooke and Grayson County charts below. Don’t forget to hover over the charts as they are interactive.

Median Sales Price Trends

SEPTEMBER 2019
Denton County
$311,318 | +3.5%

Collin County
$329,000 | +0.9%

Dallas County
$249,000 | +3.8%

Tarrant County
$240,000 | +4.3%

Median Price Per Square Foot

SEPTEMBER 2019
Denton County
$140 | +1.4%

Collin County
$139 | +1.5%

Dallas County
$140 | +6.1%

Tarrant County
$126 | +5.0%

Median Days on Market

SEPTEMBER 2019
Denton County
34 | +25.9%

Collin County
36 | +20.0%

Dallas County
25 | +38.9%

Tarrant County
21 | +16.7%

Months Supply of Inventory

SEPTEMBER 2019
Denton County
3.0 | -9.1%

Collin County
3.3 | -13.2%

Dallas County
3.4 | +9.7%

Tarrant County
2.4 | -7.7%

Volume- Number of Sales

SEPTEMBER 2019
Denton County
1,225 | +7.2%

Collin County
1,370 | +14.2%

Dallas County
2,037 | +9.0%

Tarrant County
2,270 | +1.8%
 
 

Cooke & Grayson Counties

SEPTEMBER 2019
Cooke County
$210,000 | -1.1%

Grayson County
$185,450 | +7.2%
Cooke and Grayson counties are more rural markets with less population and fewer sales.  For these reason, they do fluctuate more.  There has been a strong increase in the median sales price for both counties within the past three year.  Cooke County sale prices have flattened out.  With the  population growth and price increases  in the North Dallas area, the demand for more affordable houses and the desire for more space have increased the prices in these counties.  
 

Interests have been dropping over the past year and increased slightly last week. With interest rates so low, refinances and housing purchases have been holding strong. Here is a look at the rates over the past year:

Mortgage Rates


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Happy Halloween!

We hope you have plans for a safe and Happy Halloween! As a member of the Pilot Point Chamber of Commerce, the DW Slater Company will be at our local Trunk or Treat. If you are local, stop by and we will give you a treat!

Check out these great reads: 

Does the market really change every seven years? – Sacramento Appraisal Blog

5 Scary Movies that Describe and Appraiser’s Job – Birmingham Appraisal Blog

The Penny… A Classic Example of Cost Not Equaling Value– Cleveland Appraisal Blog

Chick-fil-A and Starbucks Distributor or Move California Headquarters to Texas– CoStar